And it came to pass, in the 48th week of 2014, that the LSAC saw its shadow and decreed that the fall 2015 law school application cycle had begun, a week earlier than the previous year.
11,415 people have submitted 70,009 applications to an ABA law school thus far, down 8.5 percent and 9.5 percent from last year, respectively. By contrast, in week 49 of 2014, 14,171 people had sent 90,032 applications. Arithmetic suggests that fewer than 50,000 applicants will emerge from the depths next fall.
…But arithmetic can be so imprecise. In week 49 of 2013, the projected number of applicants was varied by several percentage points, implies 2015 will be little different from 2014.
We’ll see how the horse race develops.