Day: 2015/01/07

LSAT Tea-Leaf Reading: December 2014 Edition

And the LSAC said, “Let there be growth!” and it was so. A whole 0.8 percent more people (222 souls) took the LSAT last month than in December 2013. The calendar year total is 100,829, which is about 4,500 fewer administrations than the previous year. The decline for 2013 was about half what it was the year before, so we might be bottoming out.

No. LSAT Takers, 4-Testing Period Moving Sum

It’s the second time since the LSAT plunge began in October 2010 that we’ve seen a year-over-year growth in test-takers. The last one was in February 2014, which was a larger, 1.1 percent increase. There will probably be more declines in the future, but at some point in the next few years it will stabilize. I doubt it’ll start growing though.

Meanwhile, week 1 has come and gone, and I can finally give you a trend path for applicants and applications for fall 2015.

No. Applicants Over App Cycle

No. Applications Over App Cycle

It looks like 5,000 fewer applicants is what we can expect for this year. I say again that these numbers still look too high, and I’m surprised that more people aren’t deterred from law school.